Gbpusd binary signal uk revised gdp 22 feb 2018
The first month of is over. The pound is still grappling with the Brexit decision and on whether to opt for a hard or soft Brexit. A hard Brexit would not be good for the pound because it would be similar to a bad divorce.
If so, the EU would make the process very painful by imposing tough restrictions to trade in order to discourage other countries from leaving. Countries like France are considering a Brexit themselves, but that is a long way down the line. In short, the pound would be better off with a soft Brexit.
The first week of January saw the cable rise to its highest level since the 19 th of December. These historic lows were last seen after the October flash crash, and the cable was in bad shape. On the 24 th of January, the pound dipped by more than a thousand pips after the UK Supreme Court ruling on Article This pushed the hopes of a quick Brexit farther away from the previously anticipated April date. The pair retreated a little to test the At the end of the month, the 31 st of January, the pound weakened significantly after the Bank of England released the December money figures.
They showed that borrowing and mortgage approvals had slowed while consumer credit rose. Before the month ended, though, weakness by the US dollar enabled the pair to climb back up. US dollar weakness was the result of the travel ban and also the general feeling of political risk in the US.
The euro has been gaining strength all through the month of January. The gain followed a downtrend in the final 2 months of by the soaring US gbpusd binary signal uk revised gdp 22 feb 2018 after the election of President Trump. In Germany, unemployment rates have fallen to a record low not seen since and trade is up.
Spending is also up and their government has a surplus in the public sector, which could be used to boost the economy further through tax cuts. Yesterday, the top advisor to Trump on trade claimed that Germany was taking advantage of the weaker euro to gain an advantage in trade.
Besides Germany, other nations in the EU have also recorded positive performance, with lower unemployment across the board, higher inflation and a rising GDP. All these factors have led to the strengthening of the euro in January, but not for long. Mario Draghi believes the inflation was gbpusd binary signal uk revised gdp 22 feb 2018 to lower oil prices inand has chosen to hold the interest rates at 0.
Already, the ECB has scaled back its bond-buying program from 80 to 60 billion euro a month, but further changes to the monetary policy are imminent. Across the Atlantic, momentum in the US dollar seems to be declining.
It started as early as the 4 th of January when the US treasury year bonds yields fell. This caused the US dollar to weaken, but it regained strength after the jobs report on the 6 th of January. The report showed that unemployment was gbpusd binary signal uk revised gdp 22 feb 2018 after the private sector added more jobs.
However, this was still not enough to keep the US dollar strength up and the overall economic growth in the Eurozone still overshadowed the growth in US economy. Its current value below shows that it is weaker than those currencies. The soaring value of the dollar could have negative implications on the trade deals gbpusd binary signal uk revised gdp 22 feb 2018 new president would like to make.
Devaluing the dollar could place the US gbpusd binary signal uk revised gdp 22 feb 2018 a better position to create new trade deals with emerging economies in Asia and Latin America.
Thus, the growing strength of the euro against the dollar is probably not completely unwanted. The Australian dollar has become the best performing currency this month. All these factors have made the economy very stable and the Australian dollar strong. The weakness brought the value of the pair down to a low of 0. Gbpusd binary signal uk revised gdp 22 feb 2018 Australian dollar then rallied to the 0.
To know the future direction of the pair, we have to wait for the FED to announce whether they are going to raise or maintain interest rates. This will be the most impactful news, and it will be released later today, on the 1 st of February. After a huge rally due to positive news in the US, this pair rallied through the final 2 months of up to a Unimpressive yields from the US government year bonds gbpusd binary signal uk revised gdp 22 feb 2018 some room for the Japanese yen to breathe, dropping several pips between the 4 th and 5 th of January.
This, combined with the double-top formation signaled a pullback which has set the tone for the dominant downtrend that has been in effect for most of January. Again, this pair started off in a downtrend after negative news coming from the US causing the US dollar to weaken. The downtrend saw the pair test the 1. The biggest move of the month was on the 18 th of January when the FED chair reiterated their intentions to raise interest this year.
On the other hand, Bank of Canada said that rate cuts were still on the table, signaling a willingness to reduce interest rates. This caused the pair to spring up from the 1. Afterwards, from the 24 th to the 25 th of January, the Canadian dollar strengthened once again after the decline in the strength of the US dollar, once again testing the 1.
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